Best Sports Betting Picks Today: NBA Predictions for March 11th

It’s another great day for betting on basketball.

But since the only ranked college basketball team playing today is No. 19 Saint Mary’s, let’s stick with the NBA for today’s best bets list.

There are only four games on the schedule tonight, so our options are limited.

The following are our best NBA bets for today.

Brooklyn Nets (+900) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (-18)

Cleveland has the best record in the NBA at 54-10 and is the only team to have wrapped up a playoff spot already. Brooklyn (22-42) is on the outside looking in on the play-in tournament. The struggle is real for one team, while completely non-existent for the other.

How do you think this game is going to go?

The Cavs will be going for the season sweep, having won the three prior meetings—though only one was decided by 18-plus points. However, Cleveland will be trying to keep a 14-game win streak alive. The desire to do so will be more than enough motivation to ensure the Cavs win.

But can they cover? That’s a pretty big spread at minus-18.

Our pick: Over 225 (DraftKings)
Cleveland will win this game, and they could very well cover in the process. But in the three previous meetings between these teams, the Cavs won by 18-plus just once. So, while confidence in a win is high, it’s pretty low for a win against the spread.

However, the Cavs’ offense will have no problem running up the score on the Nets in front of a home crowd. Brooklyn will score enough to push the final total over 225 points.

Nets vs. Cavaliers: Player Props

Donovan Mitchell, over/under 22.5 points at -125/-105
Mitchell is one of the more prolific scoring threats in the NBA this season. However, in the three games vs. the Nets, he scored over 22.5 points just once. But the Nets have one of the worst perimeter defenses in the NBA.

With the roll the Cavs have been on lately, I expect a very confident Mitchell to make it rain from behind the arc.

Our pick: Over 22.5

Donovan Mitchell, over/under 3.5 made 3-pointers at +124/-160
Mitchell hit just one of 13 attempts over the last two games, although he made four of 11 attempts vs. Miami. By the numbers, it looks like the under is the way to go. But I think Mitchell is going to unload on Brooklyn’s poor perimeter D.

At the odds DraftKings has posted, there’s value in taking the over.

Our pick: Over 3.5

Milwaukee Bucks (-2.5) vs. Indiana Pacers (+120)

Both teams will be trying to end their respective losing streaks tonight in Indianapolis. The Pacers have lost their last three (all on the road), and the Bucks have dropped their last two, both at home. But prior to those losses, Indiana went 6-2 and Milwaukee went 8-1.

It will be good for Indiana to get back home, but it’s still their third game in four days and the back half of a back-to-back. There’s bound to be some fatigue. As for the Bucks, the extra day off will do them a world of good and give them an advantage over the Pacers.

Our pick: Bucks -2.5

It will be an excellent game between two of the better teams in the Eastern Conference, but the rest advantage and a healthier roster will give Milwaukee the edge it needs to get the win.